Assume 30 to 60 days for the first measurable movement in impressions and map visibility, 2 to 4 months for meaningful ranking gains, and 90 to 180 days for durable top-three positions. Competitive metros — Houston, Dallas, Phoenix, Atlanta — sit at the far end of that range or beyond.
Anyone promising first position in thirty days in a major market is either misunderstanding the work or misrepresenting it.